The shape of the move up, including the strange op-ex surge, sure looks like a thin ending-diagonal to me. If it was, then it should fail and retrace to its starting point, SPX 1648. We have chart support on the lower bound of the channel at 1648 at about noon Eastern time tomorrow.
U.S. news is light, so I'd expect some bit of international bad news to hit overnight, something really stinky. If we make it to support and it holds, then tomorrow would be a big V bounce. If we even manage to close green, market bulls will be euphoric. This will power us to the top.
The lower Bollinger band on the daily VIX chart has come in considerably in the last few weeks. I'd like to see this set up for a final plummet on the VIX next week where it closes down in the 11s, under the bottom band. That would set us up for a possible strong BUY signal on volatility.
Maybe they can even squeeze in one more reverse-split of UVXY before we roll over.
I've got a precious hall-pass for a solo overnight this weekend. If conditions allow, I'm heading out and up into the shit in the North Cascades, near the U.S.-Canada border. It should make for some fine photos.