A major Bradley turn, scheduled for today. If this bounce is out of gas, and we are actually building a five-wave move off the October high, then look for the 5th wave to "extend", since the 3rd wave did not. Is this some sort of diagonal? the waves are sloppy triplets, and we have overlap of the 1st and 4th waves. It's no textbook impulse.
We would hit support from the two earlier lows in the first week of March. This drop would be particularly dispiriting, for its magnitude, but makes a nice buy into June FOMC.
What would force the hand of the Fed to hike one more time, and force a "Lehman moment" for this cycle?
|
SPX daily |
edit:
What if we are now actually in a
wave 2 of a much larger diagonal?
|
SPX daily diagonal to 1810 |