Monday, August 29, 2016

The Crash of 2016

OK, I think I finally sorted it all out.

Once Hillary is on the ropes, the Fed will be clear to drop the bomb and hike rates.  That, plus a Trump election landslide, will send everyone to the exits faster than ever imagined.

SPX the Crash of 2016

23 comments:

Christian Gustafson said...

It's going to be just great.

Depriv said...

Well, I'm still with this good old one for long term:
http://keptarhely.eu/view.php?file=20160712v00jwwkmg.png

And this one for short term:
http://keptarhely.eu/view.php?file=20160831v00knvac4.png

It would be nice to get a gap (up) soon as confirmation of starting the 3/iii wave.

Depriv said...

May be I will risk a small guess... In that big impulse wave the third looks like the extended one.
In case the third extends the length of the first and fifth often similar, as in price as in time.

Price: length of first is ~ 670 pts. Starting point of fifth is 1820, so target would be around 2490?

Time: the length of first is 26 months. The first month of the fifth is this year february, so the last month would be ~ March of 2018?

john said...

I guess the debate may be the must see event of 2016, more so than the Hall and Oates reOnion.
Don't think I can stomach it though. The debates that is.

Demetrios stavros said...

The sky is not falling. Trump will become presidential and the U.S.A ideals will prevail

Christian Gustafson said...

Trump as POTUS is great, Demetrios, but it also means that the neoliberal, globalist, free-trade etc consensus goes right into the trash bin.

This is why I insist that an HRC hard-disqualification, on whatever skeletons fall out of her closet, would be a black-swan for equities.

Permabear Doomster said...

re: May be I will risk a small guess... In that big impulse wave the third looks like the extended one.
In case the third extends the length of the first and fifth often similar, as in price as in time.

Price: length of first is ~ 670 pts. Starting point of fifth is 1820, so target would be around 2490?

Time: the length of first is 26 months. The first month of the fifth is this year february, so the last month would be ~ March of 2018?
--


Depriv.... THAT is the threat... that so many are still not considering.

Price fibonacci is offering 3K as the next big level.... and that would clearly take until spring 2018.

Christian Gustafson said...

The Fed's going to drop the next QE bomb this December.

Seriously, they will not have a choice.

It will buy just a little more time, time enough to get geese, an orchard, and bees going, I pray.

Christian Gustafson said...

Well here's a very good post on the Zero Hedge.

Bicycle said...

yep, that guy gets it.

Trump is the Mule to the Fed's Foundation. Keynes, the Hari Seldon.

They won't believe he has conquered them until he has blown up the temple with their predictive ghost, right in front of their very eyes.

TSE said...

To MARS and beyond!

Kinda like *FREE ENERGY*

The idea for an EmDrive was proposed in 2000 by a researcher named Roger Shawyer.
Since then four independent labs, including one at Nasa, have recreated the drive.
But the mysterious engine had baffled scientists because it appeared to violate the law of conservation of momentum, which states for every action there has to be an equal and opposite reaction.


This means the rocket can only accelerate forward if a force of equal magnitude is sent in the other direction - the rocket's exhaust.
Nasa's Eagleworks team is now ready to reveal its findings, it has been claimed - sending the physic world into a tizzy.

'It is my understanding that Eaglework's new paper has been today accepted for publication in a peer-review journal, where it will be published,' claims one user on the Nasa Spaceflight forum.

Earlier this year, an employee confirmed the team was working on the paper.
'The Eagleworks Lab is NOT dead and we continue down the path set by our NASA management.

UP! UP! and AwAy! In my Beautiful, Balloon!

TSE said...

The Crash of 2016? Or the death of the Age of Piceses and the New Age of Aquarius?

Birth pains are likely no less than those of Death Pains.

Now, we move from the Age of Piceses, to the The Age of Aquarius - the Water Bearer.

Zeitgeist!

It's The Circle of Life.

"It's going to be just great."

great
ɡrāt/
adjective
1.
of an extent, amount, or intensity considerably above the normal or average.
"the article was of great interest"
synonyms: considerable, substantial, significant, appreciable, special, serious; More
2.
of ability, quality, or eminence considerably above the normal or average.
"the great Italian conductor"

TSE said...

Zeitgeist -

TSE said...

The "CRASH" - nah - the Stats so far:

From: http://heyjackass.com/

Year to Date
Shot & Killed: 449
Shot & Wounded: 2480
Total Shot: 2929
Total Homicides: 497

The Honor Students couldn't quite make 500 before the end of August.

Awwwww....

Some Steely Dan, to wash awwy the tears.

I Got The News

TSE said...

Spinning balls, plates, or assets, does it matter?

Bruce DePalma proved that over unity energy at action could be observed.

OBSERVED. Kinda like the FED.

So much scientific HO-HUM:

The conclusions are organized:
1. Rotating objects falling in a gravitational field are accelerated at a rate greater that G,
the commonly accepted rate for non-rotating objects falling in a vacuum.
2. Pendula utilizing bob weights which are rotating, swing non-sinusoidally with time
periods increased over pendula with non-rotating bobs.
3. A precessing gyroscope has a measurable anomalous inertial mass, greater than its stationary mass.
4. An anomalous field phenomenon has been discovered, the OD field, which confers inertia on objects immersed within it. This field is generated by the constrained forced precession of a rotating gyroscope.

http://brucedepalma.com/n-machine/spinning-ball-experiment/

Ah yes- once again, we have an : "ANOMALY"

a·nom·a·ly
əˈnäməlē/Submit
noun
1.
something that deviates from what is standard, normal, or expected.
"there are a number of anomalies in the present system"

LOL!

"there are a number of anomalies in the present system"

HOME- At last - Steely Dan

Unknown said...

GUTS-

As Americans approach the end of the World - as we (Americans) know it...

From the Phillipines:

"Philippine president Rodrigo Duterte warned the US president not to question him about extrajudicial killings, or "son of a bitch I will swear at you" when the two presidents meet at a summit in Laos in the coming days."

"Two weeks ago Duterte lashed out at the UN and threatened that the country could leave the UN. "Maybe we'll just have to decide to separate from the United Nations. If you're that rude, son of a bitch, we'll just leave you," Duterte told reporters in Davao, quoted by Bloomberg. “I don't give a shit about them,” he added. “They are the ones interfering. You do not just go out and give a shitting statement against a country.”

LOL!

"Who Is He To Confront Me?" - Philippines President Unloads On "Son Of A Bitch" Barack Obama

T.Berry said...

if & when fed decided to raise, it'll be the right time and bullish for the markets. either way market will go higher. it's been 9 months since the initial raise and the s&p is up 7.7%. hard to argue withh the fact the fed has been getting it right for 7+years. remember it's a secular bull and not even 8 yrs yet----they can last up to 20+ years. 3k will seem cheap when it's all said and done

Bicycle said...

Dow Jones Utilities

Team Winning said...

"Emperor of all mankind", CG????

Oh boy...that is what the Romans used to say!!

Team Winning said...

"It is going to be just great", CG???

Not sure if I should buy more bullets....or beans!!

Christian Gustafson said...

Buy both. Best to plant beans, if you can.

I need to get busy in both areas, myself.

Christian Gustafson said...

There are so many black swans circling this Fall, with Fed hikes and Democratic/elite collapses leading the way.

Yes, it could be absolutely magnificent.

I'm not in the camp that wants to see Hillary actually keel over and die during the debate, however. That would be a bit too maudlin.

I do think it would do what's left of the Republic a terrific service if she is prosecuted for high treason and sent to face a firing squad. I would actually sign up for the cable tee-vee just for that on Pay-Per-View.

Unknown said...

"That would be a bit too maudlin. "

I had to look it up.

LOL!

maud·linˈmôdlən/ adjective

self-pityingly or tearfully sentimental, often through drunkenness.

"the drink made her maudlin"