 |
| Thus it is written, but I say unto you ... |
You're probably right re the high being in on the RUT, Bryan, even while I still expect the S&P 500 to complete its own terminal pattern with a final new high. There are a couple of interesting details I had not noticed about its chart -- see the notes.
 |
| RUT 5Y |
16 comments:
4 or 'b of 5'?
And it might not be finished just yet.
Regarding RUT.. Basically, CG you were looking for more proportion between waves 2 and 4. Also, I'm "fudging" it by thinking the last one of the ABCs in the ending diagonal is actually IT and not part of 3. Why am I "fudging" it? Because "they" rarely make the actual top crystal clean and pretty.
... but i am not an experienced EW practitioner.
So who is?
There's no pedigree, only a good dose of skepticism and patient analysis.
That's why I post fin charts to the interwebs.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-causing-bond-yields-spike-122327221.html
Oh, do you mean this wave 4, Bicycle?
Note the .382 at 2066.
Evil evil tape if it plays out!
Well, Bicycle, c of 4 wants a (iv) and a (v) to be complete, so that could take us through Friday.
2066 remains the .382 retrace for what we regard as the larger wave 3.
Massive short squeeze here?
Or Monday, Reverend.
Depends how you think the Greek crisis will be resolved presently. If the Eurogroup writes the check Monday, I imagine that the markets will be relieved.
We eked out new highs on the S&P 500 during this cycle, but not the DJIA.
Looks like someone knows how Monday is going to go.
Thought this might be of interest to doomer types.
http://antinatalismo.blogspot.com/2015/05/cliodynamics-and-impending-world-crisis.html
c of 5 tot SPX 2160, allowing us to complete the ED into Memorial Day?
Per this post and charts.
Agreed re the Bollinger walk-up, Bicycle. A series of advances and pauses at resistance, to keep us from getting obviously overbought.
Will be pricing June strike puts in two weeks. Until then, enjoy an impulsive c of 5.
In Frank H. Knight we trust.
"Uncertainty must be taken in a sense radically distinct from the familiar notion of Risk, from which it has never been properly separated.... The essential fact is that 'risk' means in some cases a quantity susceptible of measurement, while at other times it is something distinctly not of this character; and there are far-reaching and crucial differences in the bearings of the phenomena depending on which of the two is really present and operating.... It will appear that a measurable uncertainty, or 'risk' proper, as we shall use the term, is so far different from an unmeasurable one that it is not in effect an uncertainty at all."
The Knightian Uncertainty - Black Swan risk from here would be if the Eurogroup finance ministers decides not to fund the next stage of the Greece bailout on Monday.
Greece would then default on its IMF payment due Tuesday.
And NO ONE would be holding short for it.
Our latest from HTTrading. Long Japan, short Emerging Markets. A defensive trade that is statistically net short the market.
http://httrading.blogspot.com/
Post a Comment