Showing posts with label corona virus. Show all posts
Showing posts with label corona virus. Show all posts

Monday, February 17, 2020

Black swan - Corona Virus - FULL STOP

The .382 retrace from the 3385 high on the S&P 500 back to the 2009 low @ 666 is precisely 2346, the spike low from Christmas, 2018.




What's your favorite analogue?  Northy likes 1937.  I like 2008, a beautiful shape for a disaster.  From 3385 we get a head & shoulders with 2346 as the neckline, followed by a violent collapse to 1000 on Election Day, 2020, and subsequent dives much lower.


S&P 500 daily with 2008 tape overlay

Vertical pink lines are Fed meetings.  They will do all they can, but it cannot possibly be enough.