We had an intraday reversal with the 2007 top, and an instant 30 handles off the SPX. This time we had another reversal, but only a mildly-negative day at the Friday close. Again today, with another reversal, but only 9 pts lower. 1841 tomorrow would have us some 42 handles off Friday's high, but with very little to show for it, especially since we would retrace much of that in earnest.
On my count, it will get exciting again when we retrace and reject off the old channel a second time. This will be a wave 3 that takes us below 1800, maybe even bringing the VIX along with it.
The daily lower Bollinger is right around 1840. Did anyone notice that the burst late today took us right up to the .382 retrace of the larger drop? It also gained enough air to complete a ii-iv trendline, which is important in my world.
|SPX 03-24 stealth W1|
/ES is up 4 pts ... need to see this break down overnight for some selling and a little VIX peak in the morning. Then the real bounce.