We threw a pin into the important lower trendline from 1074 through 1266 today. Therefore, I think we completed a wave 4 and should rally. McHugh thinks it could last into the end of the year; I'd like a sharper, shorter rally, jammed up hard into November opex. This leg would compare to the original rally off 1266 to 1363, and end by reaching the trendline from the 2011 high at 1370.
That would still give us plenty of time, and a route through the various obstacles, almost to reach Goldman Sachs's napkin target of 1250 SPX by EOY. I'd like to see us land on 1266, for horizontal support as well as a Really Important Trendline up from the 2009 lows.
Here are three options for the rest of the year on one chart ...
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