tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post6994912864893860913..comments2024-02-26T10:14:10.039-08:00Comments on Deflation Land: How the market can reach 1233 SPX by the end of Januarychristiangustafsonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comBlogger15125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-51631525876915057262014-10-15T05:27:19.253-07:002014-10-15T05:27:19.253-07:00welcome the -12 futures. if there at open will use...welcome the -12 futures. if there at open will use remaining 40% cash. got feel of a 100+ dow dayT.Berryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06984133082818670078noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-39272238470509759252014-10-14T19:57:28.522-07:002014-10-14T19:57:28.522-07:00Pre-market numbers show the following:
Buy above ...Pre-market numbers show the following:<br /><br />Buy above 1911.95 with Stop 1889.40<br /><br />Sell below 1880.76 with Stop 1903.28<br /><br />Numbers are beginning to converge so expecting a significant move. Move appears geared to upside but morning numbers will tell more.<br /><br />And yeah, unbelievable action in WTIC, almost surreal in fact.Phat Repathttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04401209340036026677noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-61778851891518148982014-10-14T15:13:24.226-07:002014-10-14T15:13:24.226-07:00put 60% of cash to work today. expecting mkt to b...put 60% of cash to work today. expecting mkt to begin earnings rally soon. T.Berryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06984133082818670078noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-67103390851000332822014-10-14T15:10:48.490-07:002014-10-14T15:10:48.490-07:00This comment has been removed by the author.T.Berryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06984133082818670078noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-13340473415365823462014-10-14T08:44:52.851-07:002014-10-14T08:44:52.851-07:00That about it for now? VIX will set up an index b...That about it for now? VIX will set up an index buy signal once it closes back inside its Bollinger.<br /><br />.382 retrace would be SPX 1930-1935, end of next week. Looks like we landed on the support region in the smaller 3PDH here.<br /><br />Long plays with SPY calls ... meh ... reward not work the risk, IMO.christiangustafsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-20997760973145674712014-10-14T06:15:09.116-07:002014-10-14T06:15:09.116-07:00Interesting numbers this morn (though will change ...Interesting numbers this morn (though will change some as fresh data comes in):<br /><br />Buy above 1921.96 with Stop 1899.34 and T1 1978.30<br /><br />Sell below 1890.66 with Stop 1913.25<br /><br />Thought I saw someone mention 1968 a while back. Hmmm... Phat Repathttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04401209340036026677noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-48592612390456552592014-10-13T15:48:59.316-07:002014-10-13T15:48:59.316-07:00Wow, well, as the saying goes, "you can't...Wow, well, as the saying goes, "you can't go broke taking a profit." But still. ;-)Phat Repathttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04401209340036026677noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-12251972318012824302014-10-13T12:55:06.975-07:002014-10-13T12:55:06.975-07:00Well, if my model and count are right here, we are...Well, if my model and count are right here, we are finished with the 2000s SPX.<br /><br />And also with the 1900s. At least until the $USD gives up the ghost and hyperinflates.<br /><br />Oh boy!<br /><br />/cue Bryan's higher-high right ... about ... now ...christiangustafsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-12645495731599574172014-10-13T10:00:18.613-07:002014-10-13T10:00:18.613-07:00Good stuff so far. The T1 for the short has been ...Good stuff so far. The T1 for the short has been hit and I have taken it off the table (though the system still indicates short based on current numbers):<br /><br />Sell Below 1911.78 with Stop 1934.66<br /><br />Buy Above 1943.47 with Stop 1920.56<br /><br />OpEx this week makes for goofy times. ;-)Phat Repathttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04401209340036026677noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-63425585936534782052014-10-12T16:51:05.318-07:002014-10-12T16:51:05.318-07:00I had to get short Friday at the close. As mention...I had to get short Friday at the close. As mentioned, only playing this to low 1700s. But look at TROW and AXP weekly. Look like death.Bryan Francohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13490480303778800074noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-11739422937679640102014-10-12T14:22:31.153-07:002014-10-12T14:22:31.153-07:00If we don't crash to 1850 in the morning, then...If we don't crash to 1850 in the morning, then the key may be in that VIX spike at the close on Friday. <br /><br />That spike either marks the end of the first leg down, to support at the 200 DMA, or the point of recognition for a mini-crash. VIX closed above its upper Bollinger ... which can setup an index buy signal after it closes back inside.<br /><br />I don't see any good bounce bets off this, either, with the VIX so high. We could spend the next two weeks retracing .382 to about the 1948 level, before crashing again, for real this time. That kind of tape will be extremely difficult to trade profitably.<br /><br />One or the other ... and the Bear is still young.christiangustafsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-12147302281768749442014-10-10T13:31:04.473-07:002014-10-10T13:31:04.473-07:00Wow, we actually found the 200DMA. VIX over 21, t...Wow, we actually found the 200DMA. VIX over 21, the works.<br /><br />Bond market closed on Monday <i>might</i> allow this thing to bounce. <br /><br />.5 - .618 retrace is 1938-1945 SPX. 1987 tape had one more kissback before rolling over.christiangustafsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-57624379352059164882014-10-10T11:48:09.090-07:002014-10-10T11:48:09.090-07:00Jeff Lacker speaks in 13 mins. Let's see if h...Jeff Lacker speaks in 13 mins. Let's see if he has a beer bong or does a keg stand for the market.christiangustafsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-34325532434033829052014-10-10T10:43:03.374-07:002014-10-10T10:43:03.374-07:00Interesting observation there Bicycle; kinda like,...Interesting observation there Bicycle; kinda like, "when you least expect it, expect it." All things in time... ;-)Phat Repathttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04401209340036026677noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-3370891233890985032014-10-10T07:38:51.004-07:002014-10-10T07:38:51.004-07:00Sure anything's possible. Guess it depends on...Sure anything's possible. Guess it depends on which 'team' they want this coming November.<br /><br />But for now, numbers are as follows:<br /><br />Buy above 1960.62 with Stop 1937.55<br /><br />Sell below 1928.7 with Stop 1951.73 and T1 1894.47 and T2 1886.83Phat Repathttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04401209340036026677noreply@blogger.com