tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post6165904975134090212..comments2024-02-26T10:14:10.039-08:00Comments on Deflation Land: It sure looks like we are approaching a turnchristiangustafsonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comBlogger51125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-26818451256718648362016-07-10T16:44:55.387-07:002016-07-10T16:44:55.387-07:00I was referring to the DEGREE that bonds are rally...I was referring to the DEGREE that bonds are rallying of late. IEF up over 7% YTD vs. 4% or so for SPY. I suppose it's possible they could both sell off, but in the short term I wouldn't bet on it. Bonds have outperformed stocks for a few years now, but this recent action looks like a warning signal. Cash is king once again, imho. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-5102248683728154172016-07-10T15:51:22.452-07:002016-07-10T15:51:22.452-07:00Cg r u still expecting the bear run shown up or u ...Cg r u still expecting the bear run shown up or u r in the camp 2200 2500. All the internet talking aboutrose2797https://www.blogger.com/profile/03282586687131575995noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-61771313752123626392016-07-10T15:50:15.163-07:002016-07-10T15:50:15.163-07:00Cg r u still expecting the bear run shown up or u ...Cg r u still expecting the bear run shown up or u r in the camp 2200 2500. All the internet talking aboutrose2797https://www.blogger.com/profile/03282586687131575995noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-50219772841208181292016-07-10T15:41:43.670-07:002016-07-10T15:41:43.670-07:00Stocks and bonds can't rally together?
Really...Stocks and bonds can't rally together?<br /><br /><a href="http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=ZB&p=m1" rel="nofollow">Really</a>?<br /><br /><a href="http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=ES&p=m1" rel="nofollow">Really</a>?<br /><br />Gee, what will happen if they sell-off together? christiangustafsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-62644239684382625172016-07-10T10:16:59.325-07:002016-07-10T10:16:59.325-07:00Is this happening?
http://stopshouting.blogspot.c...Is this happening?<br /><br />http://stopshouting.blogspot.com/2016/07/the-color-revolution-comes-to-america.html<br /><br /><br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-17302143497560116662016-07-10T07:50:32.281-07:002016-07-10T07:50:32.281-07:00Great post Bryan. I keep hearing all kinds of theo...Great post Bryan. I keep hearing all kinds of theories, about why bonds and stocks are both rallying. I don't believe any of them, just more "it's different this time" nonsense. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-55114677896014814892016-07-09T12:56:02.993-07:002016-07-09T12:56:02.993-07:00Our latest from HT Trading. This looks nothing lik...Our latest from HT Trading. This looks nothing like 2013.<br /><br />http://httrading.blogspot.com/<br /><br />Bryan Francohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13490480303778800074noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-51392296028459616602016-07-08T15:59:55.628-07:002016-07-08T15:59:55.628-07:00How long till Caldero blows a gasket? It looks lik...How long till Caldero blows a gasket? It looks like he's about to turn bullish, after being bearish for all of 2016 so far. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-38478295121418473762016-07-08T13:05:23.771-07:002016-07-08T13:05:23.771-07:00CG, there is a gap at 1850, 2000, 2040 if up gaps...CG, there is a gap at 1850, 2000, 2040 if up gaps are filled, wont the lower ones be filledrose2797https://www.blogger.com/profile/03282586687131575995noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-33409454816526404832016-07-08T13:03:15.966-07:002016-07-08T13:03:15.966-07:00cg, i think db will have the same effect as brexit...cg, i think db will have the same effect as brexit and the piigs which were nothings but fearmongering. it won't effect the us economy or the us market at all long termT.Berryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06984133082818670078noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-2097895391338311632016-07-08T12:55:40.376-07:002016-07-08T12:55:40.376-07:00after spending the last year building a nice solid...after spending the last year building a nice solid base i think we're about to see a big move higher, certainly not one last final high . much easier making money in a secular bull market by being long thats for sure. : )T.Berryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06984133082818670078noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-87904037884526831462016-07-08T12:50:51.817-07:002016-07-08T12:50:51.817-07:00Well there's the rub, Rose.
We're either ...Well there's the rub, Rose.<br /><br />We're either in a topping process here, or we are breaking out of a 2-year range to great heights.<br /><br />Kuroda could announce helicopter drops of money in the streets of Tokyo next week, and Wall Street might think that's just wonderful news.<br /><br />Or $DB could implode and take the market with it. christiangustafsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-82040304470748122172016-07-08T12:45:53.993-07:002016-07-08T12:45:53.993-07:00historically the stock market performs better with...historically the stock market performs better with a democrat in office. i think hillary is going to win. as for me i'm a long term investor and have no plans to exit just continue buying the dips because in the long run, the stock market always comes back.besides the US is the best and safest place to be. we're the only market at all time highsT.Berryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06984133082818670078noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-86823557654063734662016-07-08T12:41:03.421-07:002016-07-08T12:41:03.421-07:00TB, thanks, what do you think will bring this down...TB, thanks, what do you think will bring this down, right now to elect hiliary, they have these phony job numbersrose2797https://www.blogger.com/profile/03282586687131575995noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-79061190931010807062016-07-08T12:23:20.291-07:002016-07-08T12:23:20.291-07:00rose with some patience we'll see 2300-2400 bu...rose with some patience we'll see 2300-2400 but not for like a year or so. we are just getting started with the move up lots of clear air above now. it could be an epic one too. get ready to see the ath signs out for a while.T.Berryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06984133082818670078noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-73053476875016587072016-07-08T11:58:11.725-07:002016-07-08T11:58:11.725-07:00CG this st. line move, with so many gaps below on ...CG this st. line move, with so many gaps below on light volume, it almost feels no pull back. people caling 2300-2400 etc. what wil bring this downrose2797https://www.blogger.com/profile/03282586687131575995noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-27504562267847348312016-07-08T11:21:21.024-07:002016-07-08T11:21:21.024-07:00You're picking up nickels before the steamroll...You're picking up nickels before the steamroller, Stockboom. If VIX drops, and you're bearish, then you get a gift on index PUT prices. Be happy with that.<br /><br />But VIX could be stubborn or even rise. Look how it blew out ahead of Brexit. It's even possible that the SPX could make new highs on a rising VIX, as worried institutions hedge the move. We mortals would note it and call it a "bearish divergence".<br /><br />Be patient, let your model play out as you expect it, and stick to your game plan.<br /><br />christiangustafsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-52449775900875289862016-07-08T10:42:29.084-07:002016-07-08T10:42:29.084-07:00do you think one can still go short on VIX? looks ...do you think one can still go short on VIX? looks very sold out right now may see small bounce...SPX may take breather before shooting higher maybe?Stockboomhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02858305761023998639noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-38995986960140478982016-07-08T10:27:23.365-07:002016-07-08T10:27:23.365-07:00Not just yet, Stockboom. This looks like the 3rd ...Not just yet, Stockboom. This looks like the 3rd wave of the move. <br /><br />I'm waiting until after July opex, where we likely get that elusive new high. 2144 SPX still on the table.christiangustafsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-69910535057295735592016-07-08T10:25:27.918-07:002016-07-08T10:25:27.918-07:00Have we reached to your target of 2125? now you ex...Have we reached to your target of 2125? now you expecting turn down?Stockboomhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02858305761023998639noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-34777077369210423692016-07-08T08:42:14.364-07:002016-07-08T08:42:14.364-07:00I have friends selling into this who NEVER SELL AN...I have friends selling into this who NEVER SELL ANYTHING! Selling stock options etc, even they sense something is not right. These are people who know nothing about the market. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-11476371443484438982016-07-08T08:24:07.287-07:002016-07-08T08:24:07.287-07:00Come on, Hugh, as tempting as it is, no taunting p...Come on, Hugh, as tempting as it is, no taunting please.<br /><br />It will turn soon enough. We want to see the usual mix of goodies: a terminal pattern, new highs if possible (likely), bearish divergences, lows on the VIX, contact with various Bollinger Bands at either end, and the rest.<br /><br />It's coming.christiangustafsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-28116665331351875792016-07-08T08:20:37.922-07:002016-07-08T08:20:37.922-07:00Hangin in there Scott!? Hangin in there Scott!? Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-63170779829273277742016-07-08T07:49:56.650-07:002016-07-08T07:49:56.650-07:00Also, the lower daily BB on the VIX is in the 12s....Also, the lower daily BB on the VIX is in the 12s. <br /><br />Making that or an 11-handle will be great for buying puts.christiangustafsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-86591540534660252222016-07-08T07:47:56.871-07:002016-07-08T07:47:56.871-07:00Patience here, don't forget it's July op-e...Patience here, don't forget it's July op-ex next week.<br /><br />This looks like the 3rd wave in the series up from 2074. RSI high on the hourly, etc. Which means this needs to wind down and give us 4 and 5. <br /><br />It certainly looks like we can make new highs.christiangustafsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.com