tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post8797749403738968817..comments2024-02-26T10:14:10.039-08:00Comments on Deflation Land: Bearish altchristiangustafsonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comBlogger86125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-55574290382616790242018-12-02T06:57:37.409-08:002018-12-02T06:57:37.409-08:00The European banking system is on the verge of col...The European banking system is on the verge of collapsing. That's what Libor is saying, that's what the action of DB is saying. THAT is why Powell is pulling back...Kevinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04698279995158493856noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-71258616083018514542018-12-02T06:45:23.957-08:002018-12-02T06:45:23.957-08:003-month Libor sitting at 10 year high!! I believe ...3-month Libor sitting at 10 year high!! I believe we are entering the 9th inning folks. Gazahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06102854145209895568noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-27292778148798392802018-12-02T04:09:32.601-08:002018-12-02T04:09:32.601-08:00good job cg! never had a 6+bagger.
still think t...good job cg! never had a 6+bagger.<br /><br /><br />still think the markets rally hard into year end. too much good news to ignore. december could end up being one of the best months of the year. the bull is a long way from being over. <br /><br />T.Berryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06984133082818670078noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-30056936705391827562018-11-30T13:57:38.344-08:002018-11-30T13:57:38.344-08:00T.Berry -- you would love the long I sold at the c...T.Berry -- you would love the long I sold at the close today. 6.4x bagger.<br /><br />Event risk, any negative open Monday would have killed it dead. Better to cash in this weekend's time. Beers for all.christiangustafsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-32962906450835413372018-11-30T13:54:28.860-08:002018-11-30T13:54:28.860-08:00nice month end finish. the rally could be one for...nice month end finish. the rally could be one for the record books! (to go along with record holiday sales!)T.Berryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06984133082818670078noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-31238117401804421022018-11-30T11:41:25.554-08:002018-11-30T11:41:25.554-08:00US dollar is strong because the rest of the world ...US dollar is strong because the rest of the world is a basket case, especially Europe. Armstrong talking about renewed banking crises over there, ratcheting up in December. The question is, when Europe catches a cold do we follow suit, or catch their money, as Armstrong believes?Kevinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04698279995158493856noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-71589852377589953272018-11-30T10:17:07.696-08:002018-11-30T10:17:07.696-08:00Dollar is too damn strongDollar is too damn strongRandall Beehomeshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16188649109467629634noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-67238853739201678612018-11-30T07:38:06.792-08:002018-11-30T07:38:06.792-08:00good chance cg. it's friday and stocks more o...good chance cg. it's friday and stocks more often than not rally on feel good fridays! nice way to kick off the weekend and get people in the holiday shopping spirit! this years sales are going to shatter all previous records. T.Berryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06984133082818670078noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-15594371356063323312018-11-30T07:35:06.036-08:002018-11-30T07:35:06.036-08:00My strategy calls for me to be positioned short he...My strategy calls for me to be positioned short here and I'm in cash. If we get SP 2775, is that a good place for shorts, or wait to see how markets open Monday, or start to rollover, or wait closer to new moon after next week? Putting it all together, what's the best plan, for someone itching to get short?Kevinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04698279995158493856noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-9100293850279621042018-11-30T07:04:29.737-08:002018-11-30T07:04:29.737-08:00Good vibrations ... market needs 2775 today.Good vibrations ... market needs 2775 today.christiangustafsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-7608890456747747282018-11-30T07:00:39.026-08:002018-11-30T07:00:39.026-08:00Crude breaking down again. Crude breaking down again. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-7734567059198554662018-11-29T13:12:21.865-08:002018-11-29T13:12:21.865-08:00I'm afraid the evil liberals connected to Muel...I'm afraid the evil liberals connected to Mueller are trying to hurt our stawksRandall Beehomeshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16188649109467629634noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-64298059865907500672018-11-29T12:59:18.215-08:002018-11-29T12:59:18.215-08:00A QQQ rally into its death cross is my hope to go ...A QQQ rally into its death cross is my hope to go short.<br /><br />On the McHugh turn, not asking for you to reveal proprietary stuff, though I hope you sure mention when you think its a good place to sell and sell short :-)Kevinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04698279995158493856noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-36617983341055535682018-11-29T12:57:29.706-08:002018-11-29T12:57:29.706-08:00Also notice how close we are to a Death Cross now ...Also notice how close we are to a Death Cross now on the daily S&P 500.<br />christiangustafsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-2077735022654133722018-11-29T12:56:05.870-08:002018-11-29T12:56:05.870-08:00Chritian, I have a few indicators that say whether...Chritian, I have a few indicators that say whether a trend change is for real, thus should be a head's up if any end of year rally is headed for new highs or not. So far, trend remains down, though all depends on how markets react to any China news this weekend.<br /><br />Here's some good info on the kind of TA elements to look for to see if this rally is for real (so far not...)<br /><br />Enjoy!<br /><br />https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ft4MuxdMG9Q&feature=youtu.beKevinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04698279995158493856noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-73419974064060474422018-11-29T12:55:59.033-08:002018-11-29T12:55:59.033-08:00I'm also factoring into my analysis an upcomin...I'm also factoring into my analysis an upcoming McHugh phi mate turn from his newsletter that I can't share.<br /><br />His last two dates were 10/3 and 11/8.christiangustafsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-11392623424255927012018-11-29T12:53:53.104-08:002018-11-29T12:53:53.104-08:00Nenner is tweeting his intra-day service said to g...Nenner is tweeting his intra-day service said to go long, though he's getting flack for that, including from me.<br /><br />On the other hand, is it mid-December yet? Let's see if we hit a lower - more important - low by then. Kevinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04698279995158493856noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-58085554732347202592018-11-29T12:29:07.066-08:002018-11-29T12:29:07.066-08:00"Nenner out again saying rally into TK, then ..."Nenner out again saying rally into TK, then down into mid-Dec, then rally into Jan before bottom falls out.<br />November 9, 2018 at 9:28 AM"<br /><br /><br />well since tk, the s&p is up about 100 points. <br /><br />another nenner missT.Berryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06984133082818670078noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-37239917451134526402018-11-29T12:09:38.021-08:002018-11-29T12:09:38.021-08:00In the absence of (a) reaching 2352 on the S&P...In the absence of (a) reaching 2352 on the S&P, (b) building a proper impulse structure down, the "correction" case must be considered, and the wave count since the 1810 lows can handle it.<br /><br />If Powell pumps the S&P to that level, he will feel dirty and used and cheap and probably hike again at the end of January, tho.christiangustafsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-21787223964657910262018-11-29T12:08:09.402-08:002018-11-29T12:08:09.402-08:00nice to see nov finish up positive for the month. ...nice to see nov finish up positive for the month. we could be in for a december to remember! ho ho ho santa's on his way! T.Berryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06984133082818670078noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-8051337112250682912018-11-29T12:06:20.233-08:002018-11-29T12:06:20.233-08:00sorry kevin wrong, the answer is zero. the longest...sorry kevin wrong, the answer is zero. the longest it took is just less than 5 years. <br /><br />3026 looks real good cg, but probably not till next year since we're in a bear market. T.Berryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06984133082818670078noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-59324810879492442872018-11-29T12:05:13.110-08:002018-11-29T12:05:13.110-08:00This comment has been removed by the author.T.Berryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06984133082818670078noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-26600632589792555742018-11-29T09:57:56.445-08:002018-11-29T09:57:56.445-08:00Because we try to keep an open mind here in Deflat...Because we try to keep an open mind here in Deflation Land,<a href="http://thepatternsite.com/bigw.html" rel="nofollow"> if we are drawing a "Big W" pattern</a>, the upside target is:<br /> <br />(2815 - 2604) + 2815 = 3026 s&p<br /><br />This would be a Santa Rally for the ages. Instead of c of 2 up, we would actually be in an impulsive 1st wave of a big impulse north into EOM December. <br /><br />This leg would correspond the original rally from 1810 to 2111 way back when.christiangustafsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-41846095970820394032018-11-28T18:29:53.933-08:002018-11-28T18:29:53.933-08:001929-1954 USA Stock market down 89% took 25 years ...1929-1954 USA Stock market down 89% took 25 years to hit new highs<br />1966-1982 USA stock market lost 55% nominal, 75% inflation adjusted, 16 years to hit new highs<br />2000-2016 USA stock market lost 78%, 16 years to hit MODEST new highs.<br />FACT. USA.<br />Kevinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04698279995158493856noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-52689652821791326952018-11-28T16:01:40.788-08:002018-11-28T16:01:40.788-08:00our stock market regained previous highs in less t...our stock market regained previous highs in less than 4 years. proof, we ain't no japan! not even close. T.Berryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06984133082818670078noreply@blogger.com