tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post3582550810440458100..comments2024-02-26T10:14:10.039-08:00Comments on Deflation Land: The great game in the face of Fed deflation hellchristiangustafsonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comBlogger178125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-27203522079888233532017-10-28T19:38:57.320-07:002017-10-28T19:38:57.320-07:00https://mcphee.com/collections/new/products/existe...https://mcphee.com/collections/new/products/existentialist-gumTSEhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12169949099985987570noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-45093717686071813092017-10-28T19:38:28.485-07:002017-10-28T19:38:28.485-07:00Since the beginning of the year, the Federal Reser...Since the beginning of the year, the Federal Reserve has been heavily discussing, warning rather, they were going to begin to “unwind” their gargantuan balance sheet. As Michael Lebowitz recently penned in his subscription-only article “Draining The Punchbowl:”<br /><br />LOL!<br /><br /><br />DRAINING THE PUNCHBOWL.... Ummmmm..... Steven Kopits already addressed this issue:<br /><br />https://youtu.be/dLCsMRr7hAg<br /><br />And so did Dr. Albert Bartlett:<br /><br />https://youtu.be/e_VpyoAXpA8<br /><br />Get yourself some Existentialist Gum from Archie McPhee<br /><br />TSEhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12169949099985987570noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-37575027814077596932017-10-28T19:24:03.005-07:002017-10-28T19:24:03.005-07:00"That's a reference to Dreiser"
&qu..."That's a reference to Dreiser"<br /><br />"The Great Depression of the 1930s ended Dreiser’s prosperity and intensified his commitment to social causes. He came to reconsider his opposition to communism and wrote the anticapitalist Tragic America (1931). His only important literary achievement in this decade was the autobiography of his childhood and teens, Dawn (1931), one of the most candid self-revelations by any major writer. In the middle and late ’30s his growing social consciousness and his interest in science converged to produce a vaguely mystical philosophy".<br /><br />https://www.britannica.com/biography/Theodore-Dreiser<br /><br />With the advent of Technocracy, Trans-humanism will commence - as we (once again) begin the ascent from Feral Beasts to Gods. <br /><br />Numbers are infinite only have meaning when they have been differentiated. The Wizards at the FED know this - and even EROEI has become irrelevant. The night sky is passing from the Age of Pisces - to that of Aquarius. <br /><br />Enjoy! https://youtu.be/BKAYGVIkbokTSEhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12169949099985987570noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-4780691500844357812017-10-28T06:31:55.322-07:002017-10-28T06:31:55.322-07:00I love this line in this article on the FED: did I...I love this line in this article on the FED: did I miss a crises?<br /><br />https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-balance-sheet-unwind-myth/Kevinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04698279995158493856noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-10177957113470158172017-10-27T10:29:41.018-07:002017-10-27T10:29:41.018-07:00FWIW, the top of the rally channel is about 2611 S...FWIW, the top of the rally channel is about 2611 SPX into Weds FOMC next week.<br /><br />The petro-Yuan elephant in the room suggests that a little Amish austerity may be ahead. China has proposed an existential threat to us with this one.<br /><br />The West can drain liquidity and collapse their debt ponzi ahead of ours. <br /><br />Otherwise, petro-Yuan goes live and the $USD is a zero.christiangustafsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-80506584980883413412017-10-27T10:23:10.890-07:002017-10-27T10:23:10.890-07:00The S&P equal weighted index is down today. No...The S&P equal weighted index is down today. Not buying the hype.Bryan Francohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13490480303778800074noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-68767188351652827942017-10-27T09:19:32.537-07:002017-10-27T09:19:32.537-07:00You'll love this CG!
https://akamaitree.word...You'll love this CG! <br /><br />https://akamaitree.wordpress.com/2017/03/20/deep-state-misappropriation-the-cryptocratic-clique-behind-trump/<br /><br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-18229899138783065262017-10-27T04:39:24.714-07:002017-10-27T04:39:24.714-07:00https://www.bing.com/images/search?view=detailV2&a...https://www.bing.com/images/search?view=detailV2&ccid=KmMtoIum&id=98957BC2890A33D7035365B730DA1861B368EFDB&thid=OIP.KmMtoIum8pA5IDc1JB3BkwEsCu&q=martin+armstrong+cycle+chart&simid=607998342520374001&selectedIndex=0&ajaxhist=0Kevinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04698279995158493856noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-85735136269745451002017-10-27T04:38:59.894-07:002017-10-27T04:38:59.894-07:00Interesting, perhaps, is the turn coming in Martin...Interesting, perhaps, is the turn coming in Martin Armstrong's cycle, which you can see by copying and pasting the link. The current rally was slated to begin late 2016, and end November 2017, and here we are, with the chart saying what comes next is drop into a MAJOR low into 2020. However, Martin is out this morning thinking that phase will invert, and we rally into a 2020 peak, though not sure I'd be betting against his cycle (which calls for a major downturn beginning early November this year.) The last major buy from his cycle was mid-2011, and that one turned out not to be bad call, was it?Kevinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04698279995158493856noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-13856496210291970202017-10-26T18:10:36.097-07:002017-10-26T18:10:36.097-07:00i posted this on Caldaro.
I think the steroidal s...i posted this on Caldaro.<br /><br />I think the steroidal sector rotation phenomenon that has fueled the mkt all year is at the end of its rope. This gasp in AMZN, MSFT, INTC, GOOG can’t even get the S&P futs green. The critical tell will be if these names fade all day. Buying seems exhausted for the broader mkt. We have seen this movie before, but it is rare, and comes at major market tops (at least major degree).Bryan Francohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13490480303778800074noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-59201201338214628792017-10-26T09:22:49.304-07:002017-10-26T09:22:49.304-07:00For the bulls in the room, Martin A Dow update sho...For the bulls in the room, Martin A Dow update shows Dow has yet to trigger bearish reversal, which leaves door open for blow off to continue, and possibly begin the phase transition phase. If the latter happens, Dow could hit 28K next year, and possibly 55K by 2020 if we see a plateau move similar to 1929. However, we remain in a Missouri show me market, and correction would be on if we see Dow sliding here, especially on lower lows for daily, and weekly, then monthly basis. <br /><br />While Martin did not mention the sling shot possibility here - where market tanks bad, then rockets to new highs to begin the phase transition - I believe that is the best the bulls can hope here, similar to 1998 that led the glorious blow off into 1999 and early 2000.<br /><br />Martin suggests waiting for evidence of what we face before acting, which means become a bull on any breakout, and a bear if we start to see support get taken out.Kevinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04698279995158493856noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-89262717025215200842017-10-26T07:48:49.850-07:002017-10-26T07:48:49.850-07:00Got your hedges on?
http://stockcharts.com/public/...Got your hedges on?<br />http://stockcharts.com/public/1957888/tenpp/1Kevinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04698279995158493856noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-1383158518737000442017-10-25T11:01:04.459-07:002017-10-25T11:01:04.459-07:00"OR we hold here and rally into a December pe..."OR we hold here and rally into a December peak" That one. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-7308083147782385842017-10-25T10:19:31.041-07:002017-10-25T10:19:31.041-07:00Per Martin A private blog post: looking at an Octo...Per Martin A private blog post: looking at an October high that results in a correction into December OR we hold here and rally into a December peak. All depends on how October ends and November begins, with lower lows = bear into December, while higher highs = bull continues into December. On a daily close 22970 is key, with 22415 the weekly technical line in sand between bull versus bear correction period that lies ahead.Kevinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04698279995158493856noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-36928873659861930682017-10-25T09:08:31.837-07:002017-10-25T09:08:31.837-07:00ending diagonal triangle for NAZ held. XLF clear ...ending diagonal triangle for NAZ held. XLF clear 5 wave advance, which suggests tis all over. trannies testing neckline of H&S top. RUT still looks like only a 3 step advance, so might have one more blast off push to new highs. So no cigar for either the bulls or bears, though volatility is sure about to explode for the remainder of the year.Kevinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04698279995158493856noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-15085091015130851102017-10-25T08:26:20.053-07:002017-10-25T08:26:20.053-07:00onoz ... teh rising channel break ... onoz ... teh rising channel break ... christiangustafsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-16047779522434825302017-10-23T04:43:07.335-07:002017-10-23T04:43:07.335-07:00interesting stats on ISM and stock markets returns...interesting stats on ISM and stock markets returns<br />https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sachs-warns-peak-growth-falling-stock-prices-3-6-months-100353338.htmlKevinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04698279995158493856noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-62578423616750649602017-10-21T14:59:53.737-07:002017-10-21T14:59:53.737-07:00"The truly civilized man is always skeptical ..."The truly civilized man is always skeptical and tolerant. His culture is based on "I am not too sure.” <br /><br />― H.L. Mencken Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-51528087840506886222017-10-21T12:55:18.610-07:002017-10-21T12:55:18.610-07:00"more good stuff" Not bad, but I would a..."more good stuff" Not bad, but I would avoid traditional bond funds like the plague. Stick with stable/money market. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-67179452984726019782017-10-21T11:54:03.518-07:002017-10-21T11:54:03.518-07:00more good stuff
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/e...more good stuff<br />https://realinvestmentadvice.com/examining-the-most-hated-bull-market-ever-10-20-17/Kevinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04698279995158493856noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-13927210546951397212017-10-21T04:55:09.389-07:002017-10-21T04:55:09.389-07:00Great stuff from McHugh.
https://www.technicalindi...Great stuff from McHugh.<br />https://www.technicalindicatorindex.com/subscribers/guest-articles/McHughs%20Article%2010.20.pdfKevinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04698279995158493856noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-87962242989027114812017-10-20T16:54:49.512-07:002017-10-20T16:54:49.512-07:00Yeah sure and the Japanese economy is firing on al...Yeah sure and the Japanese economy is firing on all cylinders too because all the fundamentals are healthy , that’s why the Nikkei is at all time highs too? What a load of crap. The JCB got it right this time as well T.Berry?johnhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15083020021449337506noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-47851888354443571612017-10-20T14:18:57.429-07:002017-10-20T14:18:57.429-07:00T.Berry, the charts work, though not every one kno...T.Berry, the charts work, though not every one knows how to read and interpret them. Just because stocks are up today does NOT forecast what happens tomorrow. Come on, surely you're not THAT naïve? Stocks are held by big money speculators gambling on today. They don't give a shit about tomorrow, nor about fundamentals. Nor do they care about collapsing the financial system when what they do fails, and there goes the system. We are in 15th innings, not the 5th. Fine that you're saying today is up, were you actually forecasting that, though since you are buy/hold/hope you offer nothing, and I'm done responding to you. I suggest you move on to a more bull focused board, since your participation like this going forward would simply confirm my view that you a spoiler, and the folks coming here do so for a reason way beyond your comprehension and desire of comprehension. Goodbye, and I will see you on the other side, and one of us will be dishing out the soup for the other. Kevinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04698279995158493856noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-22877578496520519712017-10-20T08:35:49.142-07:002017-10-20T08:35:49.142-07:00throw out the charts, they don't work, haven&#...throw out the charts, they don't work, haven't for the last 8 years<br /><br />stocks are held by strong hands, have been for a while too. they ain't selling either. that is why the market is going to continue going up for a very long time. think 5th inning. and "next year" isn't the end imo.T.Berryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06984133082818670078noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-85351912302068245682017-10-20T08:33:09.954-07:002017-10-20T08:33:09.954-07:00This comment has been removed by the author.T.Berryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06984133082818670078noreply@blogger.com