tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post3290532628888594112..comments2024-02-26T10:14:10.039-08:00Comments on Deflation Land: Charts 02-18: Get dressed for the big dancechristiangustafsonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comBlogger25125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-58367397569780014302015-02-21T17:09:09.335-08:002015-02-21T17:09:09.335-08:00re: The printing from the ECB will make it's w...re: The printing from the ECB will make it's way into our Stock Market and this madness will continue. <br /><br /><br />Now that IS the issue for the next few years.Trading Sunsethttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13291647197167518399noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-80370697401912600842015-02-21T08:21:28.068-08:002015-02-21T08:21:28.068-08:00I don't believe that the Fed will ever raise r...I don't believe that the Fed will ever raise rates - the economy is too weak.<br />The printing from the ECB will make it's way into our Stock Market and this madness will continue.pbhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13391731397067676439noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-11038178273571330452015-02-20T15:08:33.832-08:002015-02-20T15:08:33.832-08:00Hmm, looks like I don't have to hang my chart ...Hmm, looks like I don't have to hang my chart on a June FOMC rate hike after all.<br /><br />The Greek agreement today, kicked the can right to ... June. Thanks, guys!<br /><br />Not that everyone is going to wait until June to start moving toward the exits. Maybe as soon as next week.christiangustafsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-24116831745659727632015-02-20T13:10:38.904-08:002015-02-20T13:10:38.904-08:00T.Berry
Though I try to keep up with current event...T.Berry<br />Though I try to keep up with current events, and recognize there could be an impact to my positions (port resolution, Greek resolution, ECB QE, US Gov Debt, etc...), I strictly adhere to the signals given by my system. Live by the sword, die by the sword. ;-)<br /><br />Good weekend to all!Phat Repathttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04401209340036026677noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-24946712276159772342015-02-20T12:34:17.275-08:002015-02-20T12:34:17.275-08:00phat, do you think a lot of money will come into u...phat, do you think a lot of money will come into us equities in march when ecb begins qe?T.Berryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06984133082818670078noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-65337312275903575872015-02-20T12:07:40.844-08:002015-02-20T12:07:40.844-08:00phat if the system (stock market i presume) doesn&...phat if the system (stock market i presume) doesn't last im not sure i'd want to be around :) . i really can't see that happening though.<br /><br />from the looks of today's rally greece problem is pretty much done and out of the way. the sight of s&p < 2000 may be history. T.Berryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06984133082818670078noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-48642898778765175512015-02-20T12:04:44.111-08:002015-02-20T12:04:44.111-08:00This comment has been removed by the author.T.Berryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06984133082818670078noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-30007799888558840472015-02-20T10:11:31.497-08:002015-02-20T10:11:31.497-08:00T.Berry
If the system held together that long, I w...T.Berry<br />If the system held together that long, I would be quite content; but I am dubious. As most bull markets go, however, they are always climbing the proverbial "wall of worry". Either way, I follow the little black box and it has worked out for me so far. ;-)Phat Repathttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04401209340036026677noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-18171028026858430892015-02-20T08:36:55.426-08:002015-02-20T08:36:55.426-08:00easier to be optimistic in bull mkts phat! my tim...easier to be optimistic in bull mkts phat! my time horizon of minimum 15 yrs left in market at historical average 8% return puts the dow jones right around 57k. sounds like a big number but in reality isn't due to how long it will take.<br /><br />greece & oil wreaking havoc however when chips fall they'll turn out to be a non event like debt ceiling, piigs, brics, ebola, isis, govt shutdown. another buying opp longer termT.Berryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06984133082818670078noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-53499349347638667062015-02-20T07:45:32.957-08:002015-02-20T07:45:32.957-08:00Or a resolution to the West Coast Port issue. Yes...Or a resolution to the West Coast Port issue. Yes we can. ;-)Phat Repathttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04401209340036026677noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-30708174025645808692015-02-20T07:38:25.868-08:002015-02-20T07:38:25.868-08:00SPX upper daily Bollinger is back at 2120, and it ...SPX upper daily Bollinger is back at 2120, and it is leveling off nicely for us. Our target for a decent top is up there, with the upper trendline from the earlier highs in late 2014.<br /><br />Now all we need is a wire article expressing hope for an 11th-hour Greek deal, or a sizable gap chunk down on the Yen, or some other nonsense. <i>Yes we can!</i>christiangustafsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-33934977198954974422015-02-20T06:44:37.321-08:002015-02-20T06:44:37.321-08:00Next time go with French ears, that might be less ...Next time go with French ears, that might be less controversial; at least for the British. ;-)Phat Repathttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04401209340036026677noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-77688570221688909762015-02-20T06:28:29.201-08:002015-02-20T06:28:29.201-08:00Hmm, strange. We had another round of obviously-s...Hmm, strange. We had <a href="https://lh5.googleusercontent.com/-nGLQ51JQhdY/VOdED81prdI/AAAAAAAAF10/yZhMD4Me97Q/w416-h180-no/chart.png" rel="nofollow">another round of obviously-scripted 10,000 blog requests out of the U.K. overnight, similar to yesterday morning's episode</a>.<br /><br />What does this mean?christiangustafsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-37588121027152611432015-02-19T13:14:37.312-08:002015-02-19T13:14:37.312-08:00T.Berry
Like that optimism. ;-)
Well, that was a...T.Berry<br />Like that optimism. ;-)<br /><br />Well, that was a yawner of a day. Stop comes in at 2084.54 confirmed (EOD) with a reversal at 2076.86. Trend still mostly positive but 1 of 4 indicators has gone red. No sweat, yet.Phat Repathttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04401209340036026677noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-76480953123213666992015-02-19T11:36:58.455-08:002015-02-19T11:36:58.455-08:00UK just turned the bot off. It had been running c...UK just turned the bot off. It had been running consistently all this morning, at about 45 req/minute, for a total of ~10K visits.<br /><br />Odd. Not exactly a DDOS effort, just a sustained scripted series of requests.christiangustafsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-35759337822507908902015-02-19T11:07:35.067-08:002015-02-19T11:07:35.067-08:00if we get to mid 2120's cg, that on a % basis ...if we get to mid 2120's cg, that on a % basis would put the good old naz right near 5k. wonder if anyone still has their naz 5k hats- lolT.Berryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06984133082818670078noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-29642986566712240392015-02-19T08:48:57.269-08:002015-02-19T08:48:57.269-08:00sticking with 2415 by year end. have not seen anyt...sticking with 2415 by year end. have not seen anything yet to change it. once greece out of the way it could be lift of time.T.Berryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06984133082818670078noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-63843179619702917152015-02-19T08:41:08.994-08:002015-02-19T08:41:08.994-08:00Ja, should the slow grind continue, system project...Ja, should the slow grind continue, system projects Thursday/Friday to achieve target. Which means I would likely exit on Tuesday/Wednesday. ;-)<br /><br />As a swag, today's closing projection was 2103.08.Phat Repathttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04401209340036026677noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-81358079774924663732015-02-19T08:29:24.577-08:002015-02-19T08:29:24.577-08:00Short-term chart I posted last night had us wastin...Short-term chart I posted last night had us wasting more time today and ending up at 2088 SPX.<br /><br />The drop at the open to 2090 SPX may have completed this move for us. Which means we may have started 5 up in my S-T count. 4-5 days takes us to Tuesday-Wednesday and the mid 2120s.<br /><br />The UK traffic continues -- over 1,800 requests and still going steady. Looks like a bot -- Windows, Firefox, no HTTP_REFERER provided. Of course with a bot or script you can provide whatever info you like in the HTTP headers.christiangustafsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-62637328280710545302015-02-19T08:24:19.664-08:002015-02-19T08:24:19.664-08:00Well, the context of the comment should be obvious...Well, the context of the comment should be obvious so they need to tune them algos better. ;-)<br /><br />Realpolitik forms the base of all motivations with ideology used as a cover to appeal to the faithful followers.<br /><br />Not sure about George, or whether he was in the trenches, but he is human (man's inhumanity to man and all that). Aside from that, history is written by the pen of the victor. ;-)<br /><br />Interesting view by Carl Futia; he's looking for 2200 over the next couple of months. Not seeing it myself but there is a cluster forming around 2215.66. Will have to see how things look if/when first ideal target achieved (probably a profit taking event for me, but we'll see).Phat Repathttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04401209340036026677noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-75742193138859186932015-02-19T08:00:12.401-08:002015-02-19T08:00:12.401-08:00Whoa, big traffic spike from the UK on the blog ju...Whoa, big traffic spike from the UK on the blog just now, about 500 hits in a couple of minutes.<br /><br />Keyphrase "necklace of British ears" trip an algo or two?<br /><br />Not seeing an HTTP_REFERER on the traffic. Very odd.christiangustafsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-50935335809750590452015-02-19T07:51:04.517-08:002015-02-19T07:51:04.517-08:00Yeah, Mackensen is the Prussian ideal-type. I lov...Yeah, Mackensen is the Prussian ideal-type. I love the pics of the octogenarian Hussar in his WWI dress uniform surrounded by Nazis at the Kaiser's funeral. They look like Eurotrash headed out to a Kraftwerk concert.<br /><br />Imagine how different our own <i>Kultur</i> would be today if George Washington was a bit more of a warrior in this mold instead of the statesman.<br /><br />Imagine if the classic portrait of Washington had him with a necklace of British <i>ears</i> looped around his neck, how this would change who we are.christiangustafsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-42935311292302564922015-02-19T06:05:52.280-08:002015-02-19T06:05:52.280-08:00I have got to get me one of them hats! ;-)
Playin...I have got to get me one of them hats! ;-)<br /><br />Playing to script, so far.Phat Repathttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04401209340036026677noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-45036123041054891722015-02-19T06:01:45.923-08:002015-02-19T06:01:45.923-08:00Excellent, VIX under 15 has been my sell signal fo...Excellent, VIX under 15 has been my sell signal for a while. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-547276048038789798.post-76316936890973335372015-02-18T21:45:28.478-08:002015-02-18T21:45:28.478-08:00I would have made a joke on Heraclitus, but this i...I would have made a joke on Heraclitus, but this is a family-friendly blog.christiangustafsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07216348353801614419noreply@blogger.com